Courtesy of FiveThirtyEight:
In a normal presidential election, both candidates raise essentially unlimited money and staff their campaigns with hundreds of experienced professionals. In a normal presidential election, both candidates are good representatives of their party’s traditional values and therefore unite almost all their party’s voters behind them. In a normal presidential election, both candidates have years of experience running for office and deftly pivot away from controversies to exploit their opponents’ weaknesses. In a normal presidential election, both candidates target a broad enough range of demographic groups to have a viable chance of reaching 51 percent of the vote. This may not be a normal presidential election because while most of those things are true for Clinton, it’s not clear that any of them apply to Trump.
Now Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight by no means suggests that Hillary WILL beat Donald Trump for certain, much less in a landslide victory.
But considering the circumstances of this election that possibility does exist.
Here are a couple of examples of what we might see in November if indeed that is the case.
I like it. That's a good solid win.
However don't forget that Trump is going to cry foul and claim the election was stolen, so a much bigger margin would be preferable.
Oh yeah, that's much better.
Bill Clinton won Missouri twice and South Carolina seems to up for grabs this time as well. So this could be a very likely scenario.
But you know what? I would like to see an even bigger margin if possible.
Wow, Texas going blue, and Alaska!
Damn wouldn't that be something?
Let me just say how over the moon I would be if my state finally voted for Democratic nominee in a presidential election for the first time since 1964.
It's unlikely though right?
But if we turn out in significant numbers we might come close to seeing something like this come to fruition. Never hurts to try, right?
I don't know about the rest of you, but I have managed to convince at least five young people so far to register this year for the first time, and I can guarantee that none of them are going to vote for Trump.
If we all try to do that, well then just maybe dreams CAN come true.
Source http://ift.tt/2aLt0d8
In a normal presidential election, both candidates raise essentially unlimited money and staff their campaigns with hundreds of experienced professionals. In a normal presidential election, both candidates are good representatives of their party’s traditional values and therefore unite almost all their party’s voters behind them. In a normal presidential election, both candidates have years of experience running for office and deftly pivot away from controversies to exploit their opponents’ weaknesses. In a normal presidential election, both candidates target a broad enough range of demographic groups to have a viable chance of reaching 51 percent of the vote. This may not be a normal presidential election because while most of those things are true for Clinton, it’s not clear that any of them apply to Trump.
Now Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight by no means suggests that Hillary WILL beat Donald Trump for certain, much less in a landslide victory.
But considering the circumstances of this election that possibility does exist.
Here are a couple of examples of what we might see in November if indeed that is the case.
I like it. That's a good solid win.
However don't forget that Trump is going to cry foul and claim the election was stolen, so a much bigger margin would be preferable.
Oh yeah, that's much better.
Bill Clinton won Missouri twice and South Carolina seems to up for grabs this time as well. So this could be a very likely scenario.
But you know what? I would like to see an even bigger margin if possible.
Wow, Texas going blue, and Alaska!
Damn wouldn't that be something?
Let me just say how over the moon I would be if my state finally voted for Democratic nominee in a presidential election for the first time since 1964.
It's unlikely though right?
But if we turn out in significant numbers we might come close to seeing something like this come to fruition. Never hurts to try, right?
I don't know about the rest of you, but I have managed to convince at least five young people so far to register this year for the first time, and I can guarantee that none of them are going to vote for Trump.
If we all try to do that, well then just maybe dreams CAN come true.
Source http://ift.tt/2aLt0d8